Think in terms of probabilities
To be an independent thinker, don’t think of things as being black-and-white. Rather, think in terms of probabilities. It helps to break the problem down to first principles and make expected value calculations.
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Graph:
- 126.008 Decision Making - Think in terms of probabilities to 118.011 People - Paul Graham
- 126.008 Decision Making - Think in terms of probabilities to 113.036 Statistics - Expected Value
- 126.008 Decision Making - Think in terms of probabilities to 126.001 Decision Making - Expected Value
- 126.008 Decision Making - Think in terms of probabilities to 116.059 Life Lessons - Make your decisions as expected value calculations
- 126.008 Decision Making - Think in terms of probabilities to 116.017 Life Lessons - Elon Musk on learning
- 126 Decision Making to 126.008 Decision Making - Think in terms of probabilities